Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.668911e-05 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073 0.000083 0.000095 0.000108
2025-01-05 3.563436e-05 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000087 0.000105 0.000127
2025-01-12 2.760949e-05 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000089 0.000112 0.000142
2025-01-19 2.142069e-05 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000089 0.000117 0.000153
2025-01-26 1.718849e-05 0.000028 0.000043 0.000063 0.000090 0.000122 0.000165
2025-02-02 1.532142e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000066 0.000096 0.000134 0.000185
2025-02-09 1.306114e-05 0.000025 0.000041 0.000066 0.000099 0.000142 0.000200
2025-02-16 1.243437e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000070 0.000108 0.000157 0.000225
2025-02-23 1.077630e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000070 0.000111 0.000165 0.000240
2025-03-02 8.506679e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000066 0.000109 0.000165 0.000245
2025-03-09 6.923265e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000064 0.000108 0.000168 0.000253
2025-03-16 5.705813e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000063 0.000108 0.000171 0.000263
2025-03-23 4.514089e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000062 0.000110 0.000178 0.000278
2025-03-30 3.497725e-06 0.000012 0.000029 0.000060 0.000111 0.000184 0.000293
2025-04-06 2.578255e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000058 0.000110 0.000188 0.000304
2025-04-13 1.809988e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000055 0.000109 0.000189 0.000313
2025-04-20 1.304459e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000054 0.000109 0.000193 0.000325
2025-04-27 1.130116e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000056 0.000115 0.000207 0.000350
2025-05-04 8.745026e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000056 0.000117 0.000215 0.000368
2025-05-11 8.380627e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000059 0.000127 0.000234 0.000402
2025-05-18 6.499036e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000060 0.000130 0.000242 0.000422
2025-05-25 4.006360e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000056 0.000127 0.000241 0.000427
2025-06-01 2.549837e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000054 0.000126 0.000244 0.000436